NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 preview: Can No. 4 Maryland basketball stun No. 1 Florida?
Playing in their first Sweet 16 game in nine years, the Terps will look to pull the upset.
The biggest game in at least nine seasons is nearing for the
Maryland men's basketball program.
The No. 4 Terps (27-8) and No. 1
Florida (32-4), the fourth overall seed, will meet Thursday in the Sweet 16, also the West Region semifinal, in San Francisco.
It will be Maryland's first game in the Sweet 16 since 2016, when the fifth-seeded Terps bowed out of the NCAA Tournament with a 79-63 loss to No. 1 seed Kansas. Head coach
Kevin Willard is also set to coach in his first Sweet 16 game. It will be the Terps' third Sweet 16 game since 2003. Maryland has been to the Elite Eight only four times and not since its 2002 national championship-winning season.
The Terps are coming off an exhilarating 72-71 win over No. 12
Colorado State in the second round Sunday night.
Derik Queen banked in a runner at the buzzer, which immediately became an iconic moment in Maryland history. Each member of the Crab Five was in double figures: Queen with 17 points,
Rodney Rice with 16,
Julian Reese with 15 and
Selton Miguel and
Ja'Kobi Gillespie each with 11. It was the eighth time the five starters each scored at least 10 points, the most in the country.
Maryland is 2-2 all-time against Florida. They most recently met on Dec. 12, 2021, at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, a 70-68 win for the Terps. Maryland also beat Florida on Dec. 10, 2003,
a 69-68 road win over the No. 1 team in the country. Florida beat Maryland, 69-64, on Dec. 14, 2002. The Gators also own a 39-24 win over Maryland in the first meeting between the schools on Feb. 26, 1932.
Here's everything you need to know about how to watch, follow and listen to the matchup.
Tipoff: 7:39 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 27 at Chase Center in San Francisco
TV: TBS/truTV – Kevin Harlan (play-by-play), Dan Bonner (analyst),
Stan Van Gundy (analyst), Lauren Shehadi (sideline)
Streaming: March Madness Live
Radio: Maryland Sports Radio Network, 105.7FM (Baltimore), 980AM (D.C.) – Johnny Holliday (play-by-play), Chris Knoche (analyst), Claude Jennings, Jr. (engineer)
Live Stats: Link
KenPom Line: Florida -6
Betting Line: Florida -6.5 (-275 ML), O/U 156.5 per
FanDuel Sportsbook
Florida is coming off a 77-75 win over No. 8 Connecticut on Sunday. The back-to-back reigning national champions gave the Gators all they could handle, leading for 17:28 and tying the game at 64 with 2:12 left. Florida scored the next eight points to take a 72-64 lead, and the final score was not as close as the game indicated it may have been down the stretch. First-team All-American
Walter Clayton Jr. had 23 points and hit five three-pointers, three in the final 7:57.
Alijah Martin had 18 points and
Will Richard had 15. The Gators beat No. 16
Norfolk State, 95-69, in their first-round game last Sunday.
Florida ranks third at KenPom. It has won eight games in a row and 14 of its last 15. Since its eight-game winning streak began, Florida is the No. 1 team in the country, according to BartTorvik. Florida ranks second nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and 10th in adjusted defensive efficiency, per KenPom.
Todd Golden is in his third year as Florida's head coach. The Gators have a 72-33 record with him at the helm. Golden, who coached three years at San Francisco before accepting the Florida job, had never won an NCAA Tournament game prior to this season.
The Gators are one of the best offensive-rebounding teams in the country, averaging 14 offensive rebounds per game and ranking fifth in offensive rebounding percentage. Maryland has had a mostly solid season in keeping opponents off the offensive glass, but it has struggled lately. Colorado State and Grand Canyon each had 13 offensive rebounds and
Michigan had 18 against the Terps.
Florida shoots 35.6% from three. In its last five games, since its SEC Tournament run began, it is shooting 38% from deep.
While Florida does a solid job taking care of the ball – it ranks 44th nationally in offensive turnover percentage – it ranks only 192nd nationally in defensive turnover percentage. Maryland does a great job taking care of the ball, ranking 19th nationally in offensive turnover percentage. The Terps had just six turnovers against Colorado State, eight against Grand Canyon and six against Michigan.
The 6-foot-3 Clayton averages 17.9 points, 3.8 rebounds, 4.2 assists (to 2.4 turnovers) and 1.3 steals per game. He shoots 44.6% from the field, 85.8% from the free-throw line and 38.7% from deep. Clayton started his career with two seasons at
Iona under
Rick Pitino, and he has played the last two in Gainesville. He scored 23 points in each of the Gators' two NCAA Tournament games. He is shooting 51.2% from three over his last five games.
Martin, a
Florida Atlantic transfer, averages 14.6 points, 4.5 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1.6 steals per game. He shoots 46% from the field and 35.4% from three. Martin, 6-foot-2, is averaging 17.5 points per game during the NCAA Tournament. He has legitimate NCAA Tournament experience under his belt as one of the key cogs of FAU's run to the 2023 Final Four.
Richard averages 13.5 points, 4.5 rebounds, 1.9 assists and 1.7 steals per game. He shoots 49% from the field and 35.6% from three. Richard played the 2021-22 season at
Belmont, where Ja'Kobi Gillespie played before coming to Maryland, but the two were never teammates. Richard is in his third season in Gainesville. The 6-foot-4 guard is one of the best in the country inside the arc with a 68.1% two-point percentage.
Alex Condon is the only other Gator averaging double figures, posting 11.4 points per game. The 6-foot-11 sophomore forward/center from Australia also averages 7.8 rebounds (2.9 offensive rebounds), 2.3 assists and 1.4 blocks per game. He shoots 54.3% from two, 60.2% from the free-throw line and 34% from deep. He was held to five points against Connecticut.
Rueben Chinyelu, a 6-foot-10 sophomore center from Nigeria, rounds out the Gators' starting five. He averages 6.1 points and 6.5 rebounds in 19.1 minutes per game. Chinyelu shoots 60.5% from two and has not attempted a three on the season. He scored six points against Connecticut. Six-foot-9 sophomore forward
Thomas Haugh averages 9.4 points and 5.9 rebounds in 24.1 minutes per game. Haugh shoots 60% from two, 80.7% from the free-throw line and 33.3% from deep. He gets to the line often, ranking 31st nationally in free-throw rate.
Denzel Aberdeen, a 6-foot-5 junior guard, and
Micah Handlogten, a 7-foot-1 junior center, wrapped up the Gators' rotation against Connecticut. Aberdeen averages 7.9 points per game and shoots 41.4% from the field and 35.1% from deep. Handlogten averages 2.7 points and 5.5 rebounds per game. He is 15-for-20 from two on the season. Six-foot-1 guard
Urban Klavzar (3.3 points per game) played two minutes against Connecticut.
There is no sugarcoating it: Florida is the best team on Maryland's schedule. The Gators have a bona fide March star in Clayton, and they tore through one of the best conferences ever to end the regular season. If Maryland can beat Florida, it would be the program's best win since 2002. Maryland, which has yet to lose a game by more than six this season, has the goods to compete, but it is a decently sized underdog for a reason.